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| By Jonathan SwanWelcome to THE TRAIL 2016, your daily rundown from The Hill on all the latest news in the White House, Senate and House races.
At 1:22 p.m. Monday, Donald Trump fired a warning shot that threatens to set off an unprecedented war between the Republican Party’s presidential nominee and the party itself.
“Paul Ryan should spend more time on balancing the budget, jobs and illegal immigration and not waste his time on fighting Republican nominee,” tweeted Trump, and within four hours the message had received 43,000 likes.
Trump was responding to reports from a conference call Monday morning during which Ryan told rank-and-file Republicans he’ll neither defend Trump nor campaign with the nominee going forward.
Trump’s strategy, now, is open warfare against the GOP establishment. Top supporter Rudy Giuliani is framing it as a battle between the insiders and the outsiders. And a new Trump campaign ad running on Breitbart News – a website that is effectively the media arm of the Trump campaign – ominously blares: “It’s us against the world.”
So, pass the popcorn and stay with TheHill.com as we chronicle the last month of this extraordinary presidential race — a month that will surely rattle the foundations of the Republican Party. |
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| RACE TO 1600 PENN |
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| HIGH WIRE ACT: The Hill’s Niall Stanage reports from St. Louis, Mo.: Donald Trump adopted a risky base-first strategy at the second presidential debate, tossing red meat to his most fervent supporters in an effort to save his campaign from imploding.
WIKILEAKS STRIKES BACK: The Hill’s Julian Hattem reports: WikiLeaks on Monday published 2,000 new documents it claims were stolen from the email files of the chairman of Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign.
DONALD WHO? The Hill’s Jordain Carney reports: As GOP senators scramble to survey the damage caused by Donald Trump’s explicit comments about women, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell had some direct advice for a local Kentucky group: Don’t ask him about the presidential election.
YOU’RE FIRED: The Hill’s Lisa Hagen reports: Donald Trump’s campaign fired his Virginia chairman on Monday for organizing protests outside of the Republican National Committee headquarters.
VEEP DEFENSE: The Hill’s Jessie Hellmann reports:Mike Pence publicly defended Donald Trump on Monday for the first time since a damaging recording emerged featuring his running mate making lewd comments about women. |
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| ODDS AND ENDS |
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| STAY CLASSY, DETROIT: The Hill’s Ben Kamisar reports:Security removed a man wearing a shirt calling former President Bill Clinton a rapist from a Hillary Clinton rally in Detroit, bringing him down the risers right behind the Democratic White House nominee as she spoke.
TRYING IT ON: The Hill’s Jonathan Easley reports: Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani is claiming that Hillary Clinton admitted to multiple crimes during Sunday night’s presidential debate.
RATINGS FALL: The Hill’s Joe Concha reports: Viewership of Sunday night’s presidential debate fell sharply, with 66.5 million viewers tuning in — a more than a 21 percent drop from the 84 million who watched the first showdown between Republican nominee Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton at the end of September. |
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| POLL POSITION |
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| CLINTON UP BIG: The Hill’s Ben Kamisar reports: Hillary Clinton has opened up a double-digit lead on Donald Trump in a new poll conducted entirely after the release of video in which the Republican nominee talks about groping women without their consent.
REAL SCIENCE: The Hill’s Neetzan Zimmerman reports: Hillary Clinton is the winner of the second presidential debate, according to viewers polled by the nonpartisan global market research firm YouGov.
UNREAL SCIENCE: The Hill’s Rebecca Savransky reports: Donald Trump on Monday again pushed unscientific polls to prove he won the latest presidential debate. |
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| THE DAILY TRUMP |
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| NEW LINE OF ATTACK? The Hill’s Jonathan Easley reports: Donald Trump harked back to former Sen. Edward Kennedy’s Chappaquiddick scandal – an incident that occurred in 1969 – to argue that the media is seeking to cover-up the Clinton family’s misdeeds.
CAN HE DO THAT? The Hill’s Lydia Wheeler reports:Legal experts are debating whether Donald Trump could actually follow through on his threat to appoint a special prosecutor to investigate Hillary Clinton if he wins the White House. |
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| QUOTE OF THE DAY |
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| “I don’t know . . . I’m not a lawyer.”
— RNC spokesman Sean Spicer said he’s not sure if grabbing someone’s genitals is sexual assault. |
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| CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGNS |
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| GOOD FOR JOHNSON: The Hill’s Jordain Carney reports: A new poll finds Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) up 5 points in his race against former Sen. Russ Feingold (D). Johnson also pledged to make this next term in the Senate his last if he wins a tough reelection race in November.
A PRETTY PENNY: The Hill’s Megan Wilson reports: Indiana Democratic Senate candidate Evan Bayh has an income and minimum net worth of more than $19 million, according to newly released financial disclosure forms that he was required to file for his campaign.
TYING TOOMEY TO TRUMP: The Hill’s Jordain Carney reports: Democratic Senate candidate Katie McGinty is taking a swing at Sen. Pat Toomey (R-Pa.) over Donald Trump, demanding he formally break with the GOP presidential nominee over lewd comments he made about women. |
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| MONEY WATCH |
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| COZY: The Hill’s Jonathan Swan reports: Monday’s WikiLeaks hack exposed the cozy relationship between Hillary Clinton’s campaign and the super-PAC she claims she has nothing to do with.
HEY GREEN SPENDER: The Hill’s Timothy Cama reports: The League of Conservation Voters (LCV) Action Fund is planning to exceed $40 million in spending for this election cycle, smashing previous records. The bulk of it is going to support Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton for president. |
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| WHAT WE ARE WATCHING TODAY AND TOMORROW |
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| (All times Eastern)
Donald Trump holds a rally in Wilkes-Barre, Pa. rally at 7 p.m. today. He will be in Panama City, Fla., for an 8:30 p.m. rally on Tuesday. Also Tuesday, Mike Pence has a rally in Newton, Iowa, at 2 p.m. On ‘Hannity” at 10 tonight, guests will include Kathy Shelton, the 1975 rape victim whose alleged accuser Hillary Clinton defended, as well as Bill Clinton accusers Juanita Broaddrick and Kathleen Willey.
Hillary Clinton will campaign at Ohio State University in Columbus at 7:30 p.m. today.She rallies Tuesday with Al Gore at 3 p.m. at Miami Dade College. President Obama is scheduled to campaign for Clinton in Greensboro, N.C., at 6 p.m. Tuesday.
Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet debates Republican challenger Darryl Glenn in Denver at 9 p.m.
Also Tuesday, in-person absentee voting begins in Indiana and Maine. |
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